文化大學機構典藏 CCUR:Item 987654321/53407
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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://irlib.pccu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/53407


    Title: 氣候與台灣對俄國進出口量之關係
    The Relationship between Climate and Taiwan's Import and Export Volume to Russia
    Authors: 陳建華
    Contributors: 國際貿易學系
    Keywords: 進出口量
    匯率
    氣候
    import and export volume
    exchange rate
    climate change
    Date: 2024
    Issue Date: 2024-06-14 13:35:17 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究旨在分析氣候變化是否會影響台灣對俄國的進出口貿易量。本研究使用迴歸分析之最小平方法來建構模型,氣候變化程度是使用貿易往來之進出口港的月均溫來衡量,並設立一虛擬變數,以氣溫低於零下五度為分界來分析其對進出口量之影響,另外亦控制匯率與國內生產毛額。研究發現往來港口之氣溫對進出口量有顯著影響,且當往來港口氣溫低於零下五度時,對進口量和出口量都呈現顯著負向關係,表示當貿易之往來港口氣溫很低時,會影響一國之進出口量,使其顯著下降。

    This study aims to analyze whether climate change will affect Taiwan's import and export volume with Russia. This study uses an ordinary least-squares (OLS) regression model to analysis. The degree of climate change is measured by the monthly average temperature of the import and export ports, and a dummy variable is applied to analyze its impact on import and export by taking the temperature below -5°c as the boundary. It also controls the exchange rate and gross domestic product. The study finds that temperature of the port has a significant impact on the import and export volume. When the temperature of the port is under -5°c, there is a significant negative effect on the import and export volume. It means that when the temperature of the port is very low, both the import and export volume decline significantly.
    Appears in Collections:[Department of International Trade 7 Graduate Institute of International Trade ] Thesis

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