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    請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://irlib.pccu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/41892


    題名: Evaluating the Emanuel-Nolan genesis potential index: Contrast between North Atlantic and western North Pacific
    作者: Yu, JY (Yu, Jia-Yuh)
    Hsiao, LP (Hsiao, Li-Peng)
    Chiu, PG (Chiu, Pina-Gin)
    貢獻者: 地理學系所
    關鍵詞: TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY
    CLIMATE ASSESSMENT
    FUTURE CHANGES
    PRECIPITATION
    SIMULATIONS
    TEMPERATURE
    PERFORMANCE
    MODELS
    AGCM
    日期: 2018-04
    上傳時間: 2019-01-17 16:14:12 (UTC+8)
    摘要: Tropical cyclone (TC) activity during the period from 1979 - 2010 represented by the Emanuel-Nolan "genesis potential index" (EN-GPI) is compared and evaluated against observation of TC records over the North Atlantic and the western North Pacific. This study shows that, while the EN-GPI might be a nice proxy in reproducing major climatic features of TC activity (e.g., spatial genesis pattern and seasonal cycle), its performance in representing the interannual TC variability appears to be highly basin-dependent, with a skillful performance over the North Atlantic, but not over the western North Pacific. A term budget analysis of the EN-GPI, along with a number of designed sensitivity experiments, clearly points out that such a huge performance contrast between the two ocean basins must come from a spurious estimation of the "maximum potential intensity" (Vpot) term over the western North Pacific for its magnitude being too sensitive to change of SST compared with that over the North Atlantic. A refinement of the EN-GPI according to regional climate conditions is advised to projecting the long-term TC activity, in particular, over the western North Pacific.
    顯示於類別:[地理學系] 期刊論文

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