2002年11月,中共第十六屆黨中央委員會第一次全體會議推選胡錦濤擔任中共總書記,象徵以江澤民為核心的第三代中央領導開始新舊交替。2003年胡錦濤當選中華人民共和國主席、2004年接任中共中央軍事委員會主席,結束了「新老交替不交槍」的2年過渡集黨政軍於一身,同時逐次調整對臺策略,以「軟的更軟、硬的更硬」的和戰兩手,對我進行統戰。其策略實質與運用方式,對我政府及社會、民心所造成的影響,以及我政府在回應中共對臺策略時應該注意的影響因素及注意事項,即為本論文研究的核心。
中共一向秉持「政策導向」及「國內事務」兩大原則制定對臺方針與策略,在「一個中國」前提下,更細膩劃分「反獨導向」、「法律導向」及「臺海事務導向」等三個思維,並因應國際局勢、內部問題與臺灣因素等環境變化,靈活運用政治、外交、經濟、文化及軍事等手段,達成「一國兩制」的階段目標,進而實現「中國統一」的歷史任務。政治手段內涵為「擴大交流、反獨促統」;外交手段內涵為「一中原則、聯外制臺」;經濟手段內涵為「經濟吸納、以商圍政」;文化手段內涵為「情感同化、爭取認同」;軍事手段內涵為「武力威懾、遏制臺獨」。
臺灣經歷2次政黨輪替後,兩岸關係進入穩定發展的局面。但是,兩岸長期分治是各自擁有領土、主權及人民的政治實體,在攸關國家安全與經濟發展議題的先後順序上,必須慎防中共在交流背後所隱藏的企圖。尤其胡錦濤已接近執政末期,在各界正面評價之下,是否有任期內解決臺灣問題的壓力或期許,進而強化對臺軟硬兩手策略的力度,吾人必須謹慎思考。
In November 2002, the Sixteenth CPC Central Committee elected Hu Jin-Tao as the CPC general secretary in the first plenary session. In 2003, Hu Jin-Tao was elected to be the Chinese President and in 2004 he took over the Chairman of the CPC Central Military Commission. In the meantime, he successively adjusted the strategy toward Taiwan to implement the United Front. The strategy essence and the exercise method have triggered impact to our government, society and feelings of the citizenry. Besides, influence factors and considerations while our government responded the CPC strategies toward Taiwan are the cores of this thesis.
The Communist Party of China has always held two principles of "Policy-Oriented" and "Domestic Affairs" to set the policies and strategies to Taiwan. Under the prerequisite of "One China" and three fine thoughts of "Anti-independence-oriented", "Legal Orientation" and "Cross-strait Affairs-oriented", CPC has tried to achieve the staged target "One Country Two Systems" through flexible use of political, diplomatic, economic, cultural and military measures.
After twice party alternation in Taiwan, the cross-strait relations have been in a stable development. However, we must be cautious against the hidden intentions behind the exchanges with the CPC.